the lack of cooperation on the part of local government
officials who are interested in increasing output of their own regions. The
central government needs to establish and monitor a clear set of environmental
standards and severely punish the governor of the violating province even by
relieving him of his position. When Zhu Rongji was President of the People’s
Bank in the 1990s, he succeeded in restricting the quantity of money supply by
enforcing the policy that the President of a provincial People’s Bank would be
replaced if the extension of credit in his province were to exceed the quota
set by the Central Bank. The same method for the enforcement of environmental
policy may be needed. Given the risk of such a severe punishment a provincial governor
would apply the same policy to enforce environmental standards in cities and
counties in his province by similarly punishing the mayors and county officials.
It would be difficult to decentralize the enforcement of environmental
protection to provincial governments because they may be more interested in
regional development at the expense of the environment; if regional governments
were concerned with the environment they would be enforcing the policy of the
central government already. It is doubtful, however, whether the central
government would have the strong resolve to enforce environmental protection
policies as suggested above.
Third, a multinational effort needs to be made to limit
the emission of CO2. As pointed out previously if the level of
carbon dioxide reaches twice the level existing before the Industrial
Revolution great climate instability will occur. How to achieve an
international political consensus to reduce the rate of increase with each
country taking its fair share so as not to exceed the above critical level is a
most pressing problem today, but the solution to this problem is beyond the
scope of this paper and the wisdom of its author. It suffices to note that China
has some incentives to reduce emissions as it receives benefits from the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), an
arrangement under the Kyoto Protocol
that allows industrialized countries with a greenhouse gas reduction commitment (called
Annex 1 countries) to invest in projects
that reduce emissions in developing countries as an alternative to more
expensive emission reductions in their own countries.
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